BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 62 Conference: 3A-7 Record: (11-40-0) Overall: (22-68-0) Overall Strength =   43.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L    54.80  28  34   ZZ  23 (  2-  0-  0) Hannibal MO            10.81    -16.81                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    97.92  52  14   ZZ  53 (  7-  6-  0) Quincy IL              53.93    -15.93                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    L *  66.33  14  17   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         22.34    -25.34                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    L *  15.12   0  54   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield             -28.87    -25.13                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W    89.66  30   6   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             45.67    -21.67                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    W    75.21  48   7   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            31.22      9.78                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W    53.19  28  20   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                   9.20     -1.20                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W *  90.03  34   7   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 46.04    -19.04                      
  9 10/26/2001 Away    W *  92.67  48  18   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            48.69    -18.69                      
 10 09/06/2002 Home    L    49.36   6  31   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota         5.37    -30.37                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    L    42.98   7  27   ZZ  53 (  7-  6-  0) Quincy IL              -1.01    -18.99                      
 12 09/20/2002 Home    L    44.66  13  34   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              0.67    -21.67                      
 13 09/27/2002 Away    W    53.21  34  15   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee             9.22      9.78                      
 14 10/04/2002 Home    L *  46.62   8  21   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             2.63    -15.63                      
 15 10/11/2002 Away    L *  32.58   0  42   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -11.41    -30.59                      
 16 10/18/2002 Home    L *  52.27   0  14   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          8.28    -22.28                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    L *  23.03   0  40   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -20.96    -19.04                      
 18 11/01/2002 Home    L *  40.12   6  35   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              -3.87    -25.13                      
 19 09/05/2003 Away    L    35.42   0  42   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -8.57    -33.43                      
 20 09/12/2003 Home    L    12.92   0  47   ZZ  53 (  7-  6-  0) Quincy IL             -31.07    -15.93                      
 21 09/19/2003 Away    L    46.72   6  28   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              2.73    -24.73                      
 22 09/26/2003 Home    W    55.15  30   6   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            11.16     12.84                      
 23 10/03/2003 Away    L *  34.67  14  42   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            -9.31    -18.69                      
 24 10/10/2003 Home    L *  23.52   0  48   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -20.46    -27.54                      
 25 10/17/2003 Away    W *  73.33  14  10   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         29.34    -25.34                      
 26 10/24/2003 Home    L *  32.97  14  41   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -11.02    -15.98                      
 27 10/31/2003 Away    L *  62.17   7  17   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              18.18    -28.18                      
 28 09/03/2004 Home    L    27.36   8  55   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -16.63    -30.37                      
 29 09/10/2004 Away    L    32.98   6  36   ZZ  53 (  7-  6-  0) Quincy IL             -11.01    -18.99                      
 30 09/17/2004 Home    L *  32.52   8  47   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -11.46    -27.54                      
 31 09/24/2004 Away    W *  70.03  22  15   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 26.04    -19.04                      
 32 10/01/2004 Home    L *  15.41   6  58   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -28.58    -23.42                      
 33 10/08/2004 Home    L *  32.27   0  34   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -11.72    -22.28                      
 34 10/15/2004 Away    L *  16.17   6  62   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield             -27.82    -28.18                      
 35 10/22/2004 Away    L *  41.67   8  29   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            -2.31    -18.69                      
 36 10/29/2004 Home    L    30.66   0  35   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -13.33    -21.67                      
 37 09/02/2005 Away    L    20.42   6  63   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -23.57    -33.43                      
 38 09/09/2005 Home    L    51.92  20  28   ZZ  53 (  7-  6-  0) Quincy IL               7.93    -15.93                      
 39 09/16/2005 Away    L *  40.58   7  41   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -3.41    -30.59                      
 40 09/23/2005 Home    W *  66.97  49  42   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 22.98    -15.98                      
 41 09/30/2005 Away    W *  84.47  28  14   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               40.48    -26.48                      
 42 10/07/2005 Away    L *  55.33  27  41   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         11.34    -25.34                      
 43 10/14/2005 Home    L *  43.12   9  35   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              -0.87    -25.13                      
 44 10/21/2005 Home    W *  70.62  44  33   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            26.63    -15.63                      
 45 10/28/2005 Away    L    41.72  13  40   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             -2.27    -24.73                      
 46 09/01/2006 Home    L    34.36   0  40   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -9.63    -30.37                      
 47 09/08/2006 Away    L    51.98  17  28   ZZ  53 (  7-  6-  0) Quincy IL               7.99    -18.99                      
 48 09/15/2006 Home    L *  36.52   7  42   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -7.46    -27.54                      
 49 09/22/2006 Away    L *  28.33   7  48   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -15.66    -25.34                      
 50 09/29/2006 Home    L *  27.12   0  42   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield             -16.87    -25.13                      
 51 10/06/2006 Home    W    63.38  38  24   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           19.39     -5.39                      
 52 10/13/2006 Away    L *  20.67  14  56   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -23.31    -18.69                      
 53 10/20/2006 Away    L    27.72   0  41   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -16.27    -24.73                      
 54 10/27/2006 Home    L *  16.97  14  57   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -27.02    -15.98                      
 55 08/31/2007 Away    L    44.42   7  40   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota         0.43    -33.43                      
 56 09/07/2007 Home    L    21.92   0  38   ZZ  53 (  7-  6-  0) Quincy IL             -22.07    -15.93                      
 57 09/14/2007 Away    L *  12.58   6  68   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -31.41    -30.59                      
 58 09/21/2007 Home    L *  38.27   7  35   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -5.72    -22.28                      
 59 09/28/2007 Away    L *  48.17  12  36   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield               4.18    -28.18                      
 60 10/05/2007 Away    L    32.44   0  20   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County          -11.55     -8.45                      
 61 10/12/2007 Home    L *   4.62   0  55   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -39.37    -15.63                      
 62 10/19/2007 Home    L    15.66   6  56   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -28.33    -21.67                      
 63 10/26/2007 Away    L *   6.03   6  63   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -37.96    -19.04                      
 64 08/29/2008 Home    L    27.15  33  37   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee           -16.84     12.84  non-district        
 65 09/05/2008 Away    L     0.91   0  54   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -43.07    -10.93  non-district        
 66 09/12/2008 Away    L *  28.33   6  47   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -15.66    -25.34                      
 67 09/19/2008 Home    L *  44.52  14  41   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa               0.54    -27.54                      
 68 09/26/2008 Home    L *  34.12   6  41   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              -9.87    -25.13                      
 69 10/03/2008 Away    L    39.05   0  49   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           -4.94    -44.06                      
 70 10/10/2008 Away    L *  27.03   6  42   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -16.96    -19.04                      
 71 10/17/2008 Home    L    20.79   0  36   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -23.20    -12.80                      
 72 10/24/2008 Away    L    44.72   6  30   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              0.73    -24.73                      
 73 08/28/2009 Away    W    43.21  22  13   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            -0.78      9.78  nd                  
 74 09/04/2009 Home    W    55.86  17  13   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame          11.87     -7.87  nd                  
 75 09/11/2009 Home    L *  53.27  17  30   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          9.28    -22.28                      
 76 09/18/2009 Away    L *  53.58  13  34   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa               9.59    -30.59                      
 77 09/25/2009 Away    L *  52.17   8  28   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield               8.18    -28.18                      
 78 10/02/2009 Home    L    49.00  12  48   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg            5.01    -41.01                      
 79 10/09/2009 Home    W *  62.97  30  27   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 18.98    -15.98                      
 80 10/16/2009 Away    L    15.84   8  52   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -28.15    -15.85                      
 81 10/23/2009 Home    L    50.66  13  28   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              6.67    -21.67                      
 82 08/27/2010 Home    W    59.03  57  22   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       15.04     19.96  ND                  
 83 09/03/2010 Away    W    48.21  28  14   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee             4.22      9.78  ND                  
 84 09/11/2010 Away    W *  77.03  42  28   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 33.04    -19.04  was 09/10 now 09/11 
 85 09/17/2010 Home    L *  50.12   3  22   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield               6.13    -25.13                      
 86 09/24/2010 Home    L *  57.27  32  41   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         13.28    -22.28                      
 87 10/01/2010 Away    W *  78.47  22  14   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               34.48    -26.48                      
 88 10/08/2010 Home    L *  35.52  26  62   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -8.46    -27.54                      
 89 10/15/2010 Away    W *  93.67  41  10   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            49.69    -18.69                      
 90 10/22/2010 Home    L *  44.46   0  35   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                   0.47    -35.47                      
      Averages              43.88  14.6 34.6

Best game:   97.92 = 38 point win over Quincy IL
Worst game:   0.91 = 54 point loss to West Burlington-Notre Dame
Team stdev:  21.42